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The AAPG/Datapages Combined Publications Database
Houston Geological Society Bulletin
Abstract
Abstract: Global Energy Trends
By
Arthur Andersen, Houston, Texas
The business world is evolving into what is being called "The
New Economy" which is neither a fad nor a convenient way to
explain the rise in the stock market. It represents, a radical
change in the way that we will all do business in the future and it
reflects many features beyond just technology. The "New
Economy" is real and is characterised by five distinct phenomena:
1) Megatrends such as consolidation, globalization and
convergence are occurring within and across industries, 2)
Widespread integration of new technologies such as the
Internet, ASPS and enhanced telecommunications, 3) A shifting
of power from suppliers of products and services back to consumers,
4) An increased emphasis and premium placed on
intangibles such as relationships, knowledge and leadership and
5) The differing mindset of the X generation entering the workforce
and the resulting war for talent that places considerable
importance on the softer side of business. The dynamics are
changing the general nature of the way people, work, live and do
business. These changes are heavily influencing older traditional
industries such as the
oil
and gas
industry
. The companies that
accept these changes and actively position themselves to benefit
from these immense opportunities will be greatly advantaged to
those companies who remain passive observers.
The global exploration and production (E&P) market remains
immense with over a dozen worldwide majors and nearly fifty
global independents participating in an
industry
that is now
over a hundred years old. These sixty players employ over one
million people, carry over $1 trillion of book value assets and
deploy over $100 billion in capital per annum. These size metrics
do not even include the
upstream
service companies or
national
oil
companies (NOCs) that also have a major impact on
the
industry
. Consider that the 60 largest, publicly traded E&P
companies have a combined market capitalization of $1.2 trillion.
This combined market value is larger than the gross domestic
product of all but six of the world's most prosperous nations.
In addition to its massive size, the
industry
is also well positioned
to create value as a result of other factors. Commodity
prices remain strong for both crude and gas with increasing
demand sparked by a robust world economy. Furthermore,
other metrics of performance such as find and develop cost,
operating cost, reserve replacement rates, and margins all indicate
that the
industry
should be undergoing a period of
protracted value creation for all of its stakeholders.
Despite its size and present business environment conducive to
high value creation, not all E&P companies have been stellar
performers from a shareholder value perspective. This presentation
attempts to address: Why? And, What can be done? Based
on a 10,000 company multi-
industry
research endeavor, the primary
building blocks to value creation are identified. The
fundamental elements are adapted into four primary conclusions
relating to value creation in the "New Economy". They are:
1) Intangible assets are the engines of wealth, 2) A company's
asset portfolio more than its
industry
determines success, 3)
Companies with fewer physical assets generate higher returns
with less risk and 4) Most business leaders agree the business
environment is changing drastically but do not act accordingly.
These fundamentals are then evaluated for acceptance and levels
of integration within the E&P
industry
. It is through this "Value
Dynamic" perspective that the process to E&P value creation in
the New Economy is developed.
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