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The AAPG/Datapages Combined Publications Database
AAPG Bulletin
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As part of the data development underlying the LORENDAS model (modeling of worldwide Long-Range Energy Development and Supplies), it was necessary to estimate the relations between exploratory drilling and expected oil and gas discoveries for appropriate groupings of the United States sedimentary basins. These discovery functions are essentially negative exponentials, asymptotic to the "ultimately discoverable resources." In our initial approach we combined our analyses of discovery histories with estimates of discoverable resources obtained independently by others. However, further investigations resulted in the development functions by individual basins and depth zones, and revealed that ultimately discoverable resources might be estimated by direct extrapolation of suc detailed discovery functions.
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