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The AAPG/Datapages Combined Publications Database
AAPG Bulletin
Abstract
AAPG Bulletin, V.
2004. The American Association of Petroleum Geologists. All rights reserved.
Climate
change: Conflict of observational science, theory, and politics
Climate
change: Conflict of observational science, theory, and politicsLee C. Gerhard 1
1Kansas Geological Survey, Lawrence, Kansas 66047; present affiliation: Thomasson Partner Associates, Denver, Colorado; author contact: 1628 Alvamar Drive, Lawrence, Kansas 66047; [email protected]
AUTHOR
Lee C. Gerhard has a career of academic, government, and industry leadership. Gerhard is the senior editor and author of the 2001 book Geological Perspectives of Global
Climate
Change, published by AAPG. A petroleum geologist, his current research interest is mitigating significant conflicts between earth resource development and environmental qual ity and public education about resource issues. He is an honorary member of AAPG.
ABSTRACT
Debate over whether human activity causes Earth
climate
change obscures the immensity of the dynamic systems that create and maintain
climate
on the planet. Anthropocentric debate leads people to believe that they can alter these planetary dynamic systems to prevent what they perceive as negative
climate
impacts on human civilization. Although politicians offer simplistic remedies, such as the Kyoto Protocol, global
climate
continues to change naturally. Better planning for the inevitable dislocations that have followed natural global
climate
changes throughout human history requires us to accept the fact that
climate
will change, and that human society must adapt to the changes.
Over the last decade, the scientific literature reported a shift in emphasis from attempting to build theoretical models of putative human impacts on
climate
to understanding the planetwide dynamic processes that are the natural
climate
drivers. The current scientific literature is beginning to report the history of past
climate
change, the extent of natural
climate
variability, natural system drivers, and the episodicity of many
climate
changes.
The scientific arguments have broadened from focus upon human effects on
climate
to include the array of natural phenomena that have driven global
climate
change for eons. However, significant political issues with long-term social consequences continue their advance. This paper summarizes recent scientific progress in
climate
science and arguments about human influence on
climate
.
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