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The AAPG/Datapages Combined Publications Database
AAPG Bulletin
Abstract
AAPG Bulletin, V.
DOI: 10.1306/07071413102
The reserve-growth model of oil fields in the Bohai Bay basin, China
Chenglin Liu,1
Zhiqiang Wang,2
Changbo Che,3
Jie Zhu,4
Hulin Yang,5
and Zui Xu6
1Key Laboratory of Shale Oil and Gas Geological Survey, Institute of Geomechanics, Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences, 11 MinzuDaxueNanlu, Haidian District, Beijing 100081, China; [email protected]
2Gas Technology Co. Ltd, Global Trade Center, Dongcheng District, Beijing 100013, China; [email protected]
3Strategic Research Center for Oil and Gas Resources of the Ministry of Land and Resources, 17 YangrouHutong, Xicheng District, Beijing 100034, China; [email protected]
4Strategic Research Center for Oil and Gas Resources of the Ministry of Land and Resources, 17 YangrouHutong, Xicheng District, Beijing 100034, China; [email protected]
5Strategic Research Center for Oil and Gas Resources of the Ministry of Land and Resources, 17 YangrouHutong, Xicheng District, Beijing 100034, China; [email protected]
6CNOOC EnerTech-Drilling & Production Co., Teda Technology Development Center, 4th Street, Economic and Technological Development District, Tianjin 300457, China; [email protected]
ABSTRACT
With increasing exploration maturity, reserve growth is becoming an increasingly important component of petroleum resources worldwide. The U.S. Geological Survey has studied reserve-growth models for United States and foreign petroliferous basins for nearly two decades and has developed several reserve-growth forecast methodologies. However, no reserve-growth research has been carried out on Chinese basins, and it is not clear how much reserve growth contributes to the total petroleum resources of China. This paper uses the Bohai Bay basin, the largest petroleum basin in China, as a case study of reserve growth for Chinese basins. Of the 278 oil fields in the basin, 168 fields are chosen to develop the model using the modified Arrington method, and 121 fields are selected to build the model using the group-growth method. The results show that the cumulative growth factors (CGFs) calculated by these two methods are 2.41 and 2.44, respectively, in the 37-yr period after the first significant reserve-reporting year in the Bohai Bay basin. Reserve growth for global basins could be classified into four models, that is, the lowest growth (CGF < 1.5), low-growth (CGF 1.5–2.5), medium-growth (CGF 2.5–4.5) and high-growth (CGF > 4.5) models in light of their CGFs. The low-growth model fits for the oil fields in the Bohai Bay basin.
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