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The AAPG/Datapages Combined Publications Database
Journal of Petroleum Geology
Abstract
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Journal of Petroleum Geology, Vol.
PART II: RESOURCE APPRAISAL
* Geological Survey of Israel, 30 Malkhe Yisrael Street, Jerusalem 95501, Israel.
Abstract
least
-
squares
curve fitting, and by a heuristic
"back-forecasting" calibration procedure. The DECs were found to increase with
field size. Within the historic data, the model's emulation was shown to be excellent. The
ultimate recoverable oil and gas reserves of the belt are estimated at about 1,200 million
brls oil-equivalent (MM brls o.e.), predicted to be distributed in some 920 fields. Of
this amount, 1,030 MM brls, reservoired in 539 fields, had already been discovered by the
end of 1982. All the fields in the three largest size-classes were duly discovered by
end-1986. The approximately 200 MM brls undiscovered by that date were believed to reside
in about 380 small fields, more than half of which are smaller than 0.25 MM brls. The play
is clearly in a very mature state, and the cost per barrel of finding new reserves will
constantly increase.
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