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AAPG Bulletin

Abstract

AAPG Bulletin, V. 99, No. 1 (January 2015), P. 91ndash118.

Copyright copy2015. The American Association of Petroleum Geologists. All rights reserved.

DOI: 10.1306/07221413148

The pore pressure regime of the northern Gulf of Mexico: Geostatistical estimation and regional controls

Scott Morris,1 Brian Vestal,2 Kelsey O’Neill,3 Michael Moretti,4 Cesar Franco,5 Nathan Hitchings,6 Jianmin Zhang,7 and John D. Grace8

1Earth Science Associates, 4300 Long Beach Blvd., Ste. 310, Long Beach, CA 90807; [email protected]
2University of Colorado, Anschutz Medical Campus, Colorado School of Public Health, Department of Biostatistics and Informatics, Aurora, CO 80045; [email protected]
3Earth Science Associates, 4300 Long Beach Blvd., Ste. 310, Long Beach, CA 90807; [email protected]
4Mathematics Department, California State University, Fullerton, 154 McCarthy Hall, Fullerton, CA 92834; [email protected]
5Farmers Insurance Group, Corporate Actuarial Department, 4700 Wilshire Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90010; [email protected]
6Pac Comm Technologies, Inc., 4430 E. Miraloma Ave., Suite A, Anaheim, CA 92807; [email protected]
7Mathematics Department, California State University, Fullerton, 154 McCarthy Hall, Fullerton, CA 92834; [email protected]
8Earth Science Associates, 4300 Long Beach Blvd., Ste. 310, Long Beach, CA 90807; [email protected]

ABSTRACT

Subsurface pressures strongly influence the migration and trapping of hydrocarbons and impact the safety and efficiency of drilling operations. The pore pressure field of the northern Gulf of Mexico (GOM) was analyzed at 1000-ft (305-m) depth intervals from 2500 to 17,500 ft (762 to 5334 m) below the sea floor. Two variables were mapped: 12,976 initial hydrocarbon reservoir pressure gradient values and 43,276 observations on drilling fluid (mud) weight. Because of the acute importance of assessing estimate uncertainty, ordinary kriging was employed, providing explicit evaluations of confidence surrounding mapped values. Expected values and confidence intervals for the distribution of both variables were estimated by BLTN13148eq1 (BLTN13148eq2) grid cells across the GOM for each of the 15 depth intervals. Estimation variances were also used to clip each map to specific extents, within which a uniform minimum threshold of certainty was exceeded.

Characteristic of young basins with high sedimentation rates, mean pore pressure exceeded hydrostatic pressure throughout the GOM. Four provinces of internally consistent pressure regimes were defined: three south of Louisiana and one off the Texas coast. They reflect geologic controls on pressure arising from regional patterns of sedimentation and the resultant timing and geometry of salt tectonism. One GOM-wide (shallow) vertical transition in the pressure field was found in the mud weight data, and a second vertical transition (deep) occurred in both variables. Hot spot analysis was also applied to identify specific contiguous areas of abnormally high or low rates of change in pressure gradient and mud weight between depth-adjacent intervals.

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